Fed Rate Cut Bets Revived, a Bit, by Iran War Ceasefire
Fed funds futures now price a 43% chance of a cut as Iran cease-fire eases energy and inflation worries, CME FedWatch said.
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Markets see Fed rate cut odds spike after Trump's Iran ceasefire deal
NYSEMarkets think the odds of a Fed rate cut by the end of the year doubled after the Iran ceasefire. CME's FedWatch tool shows a 30% chance of lower rates in 2026, compared to just 14% a day earlier.Citi sees three rate cuts this year, while other economists are wary of the dovish shift in pricing.Federal Reserve rate cuts are back on the table with markets repricing the odds of lower interest rates in 2026 after the US, Israel, and Iran agreed…
Iran Cease-Fire Reopens Possible Path to Fed Rate Cut This Year
A U.S.–Iran cease-fire has nudged markets back toward pricing in a rate cut this year. President Donald Trump agreed to a two-week suspension of attacks on Iran, about an hour before his April 7 deadline. The cease-fire will allow crude oil and liquefied natural gas to traverse the Strait of Hormuz, easing global energy prices and possibly inflation forecasts. This has made investors more optimistic that the Federal Reserve could restart its eas…
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