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Japan Core Inflation Rises to 1.8% in March as Food Prices Jump

Food prices rose 5.2% year on year as energy costs eased, keeping headline inflation below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target.

  • On Friday, government data showed Japan's core inflation accelerated to 1.8% in March, rising from 1.6% in February and matching economist expectations polled by Reuters.
  • Food prices excluding fresh products jumped 5.2% year-on-year, driving the acceleration, while Japan depends on the Middle East for around 95% of its oil imports, increasing vulnerability to energy shocks.
  • A Bank of Japan survey released Monday showed more than 83% of respondents expect higher prices within one year, while 'core-core' inflation dipped to 2.4% from February's 2.5%.
  • Analysts expect the BOJ to hold rates at 0.75% when it meets next week, though Citi analysts said the anticipated hold is 'likely to be hawkish' due to yen depreciation concerns.
  • Reuters reported Thursday that the BOJ plans to revise up its fiscal year inflation forecast, as Bank of America analyst Takayasu Kudo said energy price effects will intensify starting summer.
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  • 83% of the sources are Center
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Kyodo News+ broke the news in Japan on Thursday, April 23, 2026.
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