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Ipespe Poll Has Flávio 51.2%, Lula 48.8%

Summary by The Rio Times
Ipespe's runoff poll has Flávio Bolsonaro at 51.2% of valid votes and Lula at 48.8%, a technical tie ahead of the 25 October vote.

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Ipespe poll released this Saturday shows Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 48% of the voting intentions in the second round, against 46% of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT). The candidates for the Planalto are technically tied, considering the margin of error of 2.6 percentage points. The data show a reduction of the advantage of the pocket player, which went from five to two percentage points in comparison to the previous round, releas…

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Levantamento Ipespe/Abrapel records that the senator of the PL has 51.2% of the valid votes while Lula notes 8.8%

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Electors report intention to attend the second round, points out IpespeIpespe: 89% give maximum rating to vote; Flavius has 48% and Lula, 46%

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) technically tie in the second round of the 2026 elections, according to Ipespe/Abrapel survey released on Saturday (17). Despite the technical tie, the senator appears numerically ahead with 51.2% of the valid votes. At the same time, the current president reaches 48.8% of the [...]

Research of the Institute of Social, Political and Economic Research (Ipespe), released on Saturday (17), shows a heated dispute between Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in a possible second round of the presidential election. According to the survey, Flávio appears with 48% of the voting intentions, while [...]

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CNN Brasil broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Saturday, October 17, 2026.
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