Flavio Bolsonaro slightly leads Lula in Brazil runoff, Quaest poll shows
A new poll puts Flavio Bolsonaro ahead by 1.87 percentage points as the runoff campaign turns to crime, inflation and congressional gains.
- Prediction market bettors gave Liberal Party Senator Flávio Bolsonaro a 74.8% chance of winning Brazil's runoff on Thursday, down from 86% on Tuesday, October 13, marking the lowest price since the first-round result.
- A Wednesday Quaest survey indicated a tightening race, placing Bolsonaro at 46% and Workers' Party candidate Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 44%, within a two-point margin of error.
- More than US$182 million has traded on Polymarket, where bettors follow the October 25 runoff that decides who handles US-Brazil trade relations, including an existing 25% tariff on Brazilian goods.
- Ahead of the October 25 vote, Bolsonaro is scheduled for a TV Globo interview on Friday, October 16, followed by a final debate on Friday, October 23.
- The next president takes office in January 2027, inheriting an economy where public debt stands at 93% of GDP, as voters decide between the conservative senator and Lula.
278 Articles
278 Articles
Just nine days after the decisive second presidential round on October 25, Brazil attends a frantic run in which Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro struggle to tip their favor a technical tie in the polls that has the country in vilo. After remaining less than two million votes of the radical right candidate in the first round, the veteran leftist president has redesigned his strategy by appealing to the state’s resources. Lula has a…
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Flavio Bolsonaro Holds Narrow Lead Over Lula in New Poll as Brazil’s Presidential Runoff Nears
Brazilian Sen. Flavio Bolsonaro leads President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva by less than one percentage point in a new CNT/MDA survey, leaving the candidates ... The post Flavio Bolsonaro Holds Narrow Lead Over Lula in New Poll as Brazil’s Presidential Runoff Nears first appeared on [your]NEWS.
Flávio Bolsonaro imposed himself in the general elections in Brazil on October 4. However, he did not reach 50% of the votes needed to win in the first round, so the presidency will be defined in a ballot against the current president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on October 25, 2026. The extreme right-wing candidate of the Liberal Party (PL) won 47.03% of the votes, about 56.1 million. While Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and the Workers' Party (PT) pul…
Brazil's left rallies as Lula closes gap before runoff
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, 80, was jolted when he finished behind right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro -- son of former president Jair Bolsonaro -- by 47 percent to 45 percent in the October 4 first round. But a Datafolha poll published Thursday showed Bolsonaro's lead in the runoff narrowing from four percentage points to two, putting the rivals in a statistical tie. Bolsonaro was on 51 percent of valid votes against Lula's 49 percent,…
Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of Brazil's former president, remains easily favored by the vote on Sunday, October 25th. A poll published on Thursday showed a slight increase in the popularity of Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, which narrowed the difference from the favorite Flavio Bolsonaro from four to two percentage points before the presidential final...
Brazilian President Luis Inácio Lula da Silva reduced the difference with his right-wing competitor Flavio Bolsnaro, just before the run-up to the presidential election scheduled for 25 October, according to a poll.
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