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Inflation expected to stay high as economists weigh risk of broadening price hikes

Economists say persistent energy costs could keep inflation above target and leave the central bank with less room to pause rate hikes.

  • Statistics Canada will release its October consumer price index report on Monday, as economists closely monitor whether rising energy costs are broadening inflation beyond gasoline prices.
  • The annual inflation rate reached 3.1 per cent in September as Middle East conflict drove gasoline prices higher; on October 28, The Bank raised its key interest rate to 2.5 per cent, its first increase in more than three years.
  • Economist LJ Valencia with Desjardins Economics expects October inflation "similar or perhaps slightly higher" than September, while CIBC economists Avery Shenfeld and Helen Lao argue weak consumer demand may force businesses to absorb costs rather than pass them to consumers.
  • RBC economist Salim Zanzana noted that energy-driven inflation hits Atlantic Canada hardest due to home heating oil usage, while economic weakness in Ontario and British Columbia keeps price pressures lower in those provinces.
  • The Bank expects inflation to remain above three per cent through much of 2027, exceeding its two per cent target. The Monday data will signal whether further rate hikes are needed to contain broadening price pressures.
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The Toronto StarThe Toronto Star
+9 Reposted by 9 other sources
Lean Left

Inflation expected to stay high as economists weigh risk of broadening price hikes

OTTAWA - Canada's inflation rate is expected to remain elevated when new figures are released next week, but economists are divided over whether rising energy costs will fuel broader price

·Toronto, Canada
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Winnipeg Free Press broke the news in Winnipeg, Canada on Friday, November 13, 2026.
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