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Australia inflation runs hot in July, markets reprice rate hike risk

Underlying inflation held at 3.6% and markets lifted the chance of another Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike, economists said.

  • On Wednesday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that the consumer price index rose 1.0% in July, exceeding forecasts of 0.8% and pushing annual inflation to 3.5%.
  • Automotive fuel prices jumped 7.5% in July after falling three months prior, driven by higher world oil prices and the partial unwinding of the federal government's fuel excise relief measures.
  • Minutes from the RBA's August board meeting, released on Tuesday, showed the Reserve Bank of Australia was concerned about upside inflation risks, while trimmed mean core inflation held steady at 3.6%.
  • Market analysts now estimate a 30% to 40% risk of an RBA rate hike next month, with chief economist David Bassanese of Betashares calling the result an "unfortunate kick in the guts" for the economy.
  • Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers called the data a "promising result in the face of all of this global uncertainty," though he acknowledged households remain under pressure as inflation bounces around in coming months.
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The Australian sharemarket has been hit with ‘literal kryptonite’ as rate hike fears push the ASX 200 to a loss.

·Osborne Park, Australia
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ReutersReuters
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Australia inflation runs hot in July, markets reprice rate hike risk

Australian consumer prices rose more ​than expected in July as fuel costs jumped, data showed on Wednesday, while core inflation also exceeded forecasts and ‌added to the risk of another hike in interest rates.

·London, United Kingdom
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Blue Water Healthy Living broke the news in Port Huron, United States on Tuesday, August 25, 2026.
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