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Illinois’ Budget Picture Tightens in Final Stretch Amid Economic Uncertainty
Budget analysts for the governor and legislature are lowering revenue expectations as global economic uncertainty tightens the state’s fiscal outlook.
On Wednesday, budget analysts from Governor JB Pritzker's office and the General Assembly's Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability reduced revenue projections for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by less than 1%.
Analysts tempered expectations after S&P Global's April report presented a less optimistic economic outlook than January projections, citing the ongoing war in Iran and declining consumer demand.
Pritzker's budget office decreased its FY27 projection by $173 million to $55.9 billion, while COGFA lowered its estimate by $190 million to $55.3 billion.
Deputy Governor Andy Manar warned that the revisions limit capacity for spending increases beyond planned levels as lawmakers prepare to finalize the state budget by May 31.
Despite better-than-expected personal income tax growth up 4.2% through April, officials remain cautious as sales tax receipts have slowed to 2.1% growth since January.