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IEA Says Iran War Will Keep the Global Natural Gas Market Tight for Two Years

The IEA said nearly 20% of LNG supply has been lost and warned that delayed investment could leave markets short by 120 billion cubic metres.

  • On Friday, the International Energy Agency reported that liquefied natural gas supplies will likely remain strained through 2027 due to disruptions and infrastructure damage from the US-Iran war.
  • Tehran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz to tanker traffic, cutting off one-fifth of global supplies, while Iranian strikes last month on Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City reduced LNG capacity by 17%.
  • The IEA estimates a cumulative shortfall of 120 billion cubic metres of LNG through 2030, with market tightness persisting through 2026 and 2027 despite projected offsets from new projects.
  • Soaring energy prices are depressing demand, with the IEA noting that "the demand side is set to play a key role in balancing the market"—particularly in Asia, where fuel switching is accelerating.
  • The duration of the Hormuz closure remains a key uncertainty for global gas demand in 2026, with IEA head Fatih Birol calling the disruption "the biggest crisis in history.
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In a report released this Friday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) calls for "strengthening the security of global LNG supply"

·Paris, France
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thinc.blog broke the news on Thursday, April 23, 2026.
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