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Labour and Tories face 'seismic' defeat in London as Polanski's Greens and Farage's Reform surge: Poll

YouGov’s poll of 4,548 Londoners forecasts Green gains and a sharp Labour drop, with Labour possibly losing first place in 14 councils.

  • YouGov polling projected Labour will hold 15 London councils in May's local elections, a decline of six from 2022 across the 32 boroughs.
  • Speculation regarding Sir Keir Starmer's leadership intensifies amid the Peter Mandelson scandal, as former Foreign Office chief Sir Olly Robbins alleged a "dismissive approach" on vetting and "atmosphere of pressure" regarding Lord Mandelson's appointment.
  • The Green Party and Reform are reshaping the capital, with Greens projected to win four councils; city-wide, Labour leads with 26%, followed by Greens at 22% and Conservatives at 17%.
  • Labour faces its worst London result in 44 years; the last time the party held fewer than 15 councils was 1982, when they won just 12.
  • Broader modelling from More in Common projects Labour losing between 1,597 and 1,738 council seats nationally, while Reform support stabilises following gains in elections last year.
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Bias Distribution

  • 67% of the sources lean Left
67% Left

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Politico Europe broke the news in Brussels, Belgium on Wednesday, April 22, 2026.
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