Labour and Tories face 'seismic' defeat in London as Polanski's Greens and Farage's Reform surge: Poll
YouGov’s poll of 4,548 Londoners forecasts Green gains and a sharp Labour drop, with Labour possibly losing first place in 14 councils.
- YouGov polling projected Labour will hold 15 London councils in May's local elections, a decline of six from 2022 across the 32 boroughs.
- Speculation regarding Sir Keir Starmer's leadership intensifies amid the Peter Mandelson scandal, as former Foreign Office chief Sir Olly Robbins alleged a "dismissive approach" on vetting and "atmosphere of pressure" regarding Lord Mandelson's appointment.
- The Green Party and Reform are reshaping the capital, with Greens projected to win four councils; city-wide, Labour leads with 26%, followed by Greens at 22% and Conservatives at 17%.
- Labour faces its worst London result in 44 years; the last time the party held fewer than 15 councils was 1982, when they won just 12.
- Broader modelling from More in Common projects Labour losing between 1,597 and 1,738 council seats nationally, while Reform support stabilises following gains in elections last year.
11 Articles
11 Articles
YouGov's predictions for London elections are so close they look like a stick of rock
Labour looks set to take massive losses across London in the 2026 local elections, with the Greens in particular set to benefit from the demise. However, predicted results are currently too close to call across a remarkable number of boroughs. That’s according to YouGov’s first-ever multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) model for the London locals. The news follows hot on the heels of the pollster’s latest predictions for the Welsh…
Bombshell local election poll shows scale of Labour’s trouble in London
In two weeks’ time, voters across London will go to the polls to elect every single councillor in the capital. National opinion polls can give an indication as to what might happen in local elections. But they are nothing more than a rough guide. Turnout in local elections is considerably lower than general elections, and local factors often play an oversized role. Local election polling is pretty rare. But this year, YouGov has conducted its fi…
Labour expected to suffer losses in London’s local elections
A poll, published on Wednesday, 22 April, estimated that the governing Labour Party in Britain will suffer defeat in the London local elections, in a setback that would be unprecedented in five decades. The poll, conducted by YouGov for Sky News and Politico, predicted significant gains for the Green Party and the Reform Party in the British capital. Local elections in Britain are scheduled for 7 May next month, amid expectations that Labour lo…
Labour set for worst London results in decades as big gains predicted for Greens and Reform
Labour are predicted to have their worst results in London since the 1970s, according to a major new poll. Polling carried out by YouGov for Sky News projects that Labour will see big losses across the capital in May’s local elections, when every London borough councillor seat will be up for election. According to the polling, Labour will lose control of six councils they currently control, leaving them with 15 councils in London. READ NEXT: Bri…
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Bias Distribution
- 67% of the sources lean Left
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