Goldman Sachs Says AI Could Eventually Displace One in Eleven US Workers

AI could displace one in 11 workers, Goldman says, but the layoffs are likely waiting for a recession

Goldman’s Joseph Briggs finds companies have historically saved automation layoffs for downturns and he's updating his projection of the AI jobs impact.

AI Could Displace Up to 9% of U.S. Workers Over a Decade

Broader productivity scenarios put displacement above 9%, at about 15 million workers, while the baseline assumes new roles will eventually absorb many people pushed out of existing jobs.

Goldman Sachs says AI could eventually displace one in eleven US workers

Goldman economist Joseph Briggs estimates 15 million US jobs, about 9% of the workforce, could eventually be displaced by AI, with another 3% at risk from slower hiring, tracking the business cycle closely.

Goldman Sachs estimates AI could temporarily displace 9% of US workers

AI-driven job displacement could reshape the labor market, challenging traditional career paths and necessitating rapid adaptation and reskilling.