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The US Is Looking at a Year of Chaotic Weather

  • The National Weather Service predicts record-breaking heat across the American West, with heat warnings in California, Arizona, Nevada and fire warnings in Wyoming, Nebraska, South Dakota, Colorado.
  • A massive high-pressure ridge is driving record heat in the West; Daniel Swain said it is 'the single strongest ridge we’ve observed outside of summer' and will last 'for another at least seven to 10 days'.
  • Department of Agriculture data show snowpack remains below 50 percent of average across many Western states, and April 1st is typically the historical peak for snowpack; low snowpack risks further declines in the Colorado River, which supplies water for 40 million people.
  • Rising wildfire risk as snow drought dries soil and lessens stream flow, worsening water rights tensions for states relying on the Colorado River, a crisis that would deepen with a further drought.
  • Model ensembles led by Zeke Hausfather show a strong El Niño with an average Niño 3.4 anomaly of 2.4 C, peaking in November, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
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A climate phenomenon in El Niño that is likely to develop this summer could be severe, Federal scientists warned last week in a forecast that raised the threats of record heat, floods and other extreme weather events throughout the planet this year and next. The Climate Prediction Center, which is part of the National Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), issued an alert from El Niño that estimates a probability of about 80 pe…

The change would take place at the end of 2026 with the risk of record temperatures, extreme weather events and a decisive turn in the precipitation dynamics of the Southern Cone.

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SciencePost broke the news in on Wednesday, March 18, 2026.
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