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Fuel Prices Could Keep Rising for Months Even if Hormuz Reopens, US EIA Says

The EIA said Brent crude will average $96 a barrel this year and U.S. gasoline prices are likely to peak at $4.30 a gallon in April.

  • On Tuesday, the Energy Information Administration warned fuel prices could keep rising for months after the Strait of Hormuz reopens, contradicting President Donald Trump's assurances of immediate consumer relief when the conflict ends.
  • The US-Israeli war with Iran has blocked the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint responsible for one-fifth of global oil and gas supplies, driving energy costs higher as Middle Eastern producers struggle with output constraints.
  • As of Tuesday, US national average gasoline prices stood at $4.14 a gallon and diesel at $5.65, with the EIA forecasting April peaks of $4.30 for gasoline and $5.80 for diesel.
  • Global oil demand growth is now expected to reach about 600,000 barrels per day to 104.6 million total, as the EIA stated, "We assume reductions in demand occur primarily in Asia, which is more reliant on crude oil supplies from the Middle East."
  • The agency maintains a risk premium on crude oil prices, expecting uncertainty around future supply disruptions to keep costs above pre-conflict levels through the year, though oil demand will rebound next year once flows normalize.
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  • 57% of the sources are Center
57% Center

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Reuters broke the news in United Kingdom on Tuesday, April 7, 2026.
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