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Fox News predicts Democrats will win House in midterms for first time this cycle

Fox projects Democrats will gain House control as 20 races shift their way and Senate control remains closer, with Trump’s approval and cost-of-living concerns weighing on Republicans.

  • Fox News' latest power rankings forecast Democrats will flip the Republican-controlled House next month, projecting at least 219 seats. The network shifted 20 races toward Democrats, citing President Donald Trump's sinking approval ratings.
  • Economic pressure from rising fuel and grocery costs undermines Republican midterm prospects as Trump's approval rating stands at 38.6%. Analysts attribute Democratic momentum to this affordability crisis, which has soured sentiment in traditionally safe districts.
  • Democrats hold an 8.1 percentage point generic ballot advantage over Republicans, though researchers warn current forecasts may overestimate their chances. Republican organizations entered the closing month with about $1 billion for advertising.
  • President Trump took a shifting tone on the midterms, telling reporters in Arizona and Montana he would remain commander-in-chief regardless of the outcome. His comments followed reports of him urging supporters to 'pretend' he was on the ballot.
  • Election officials are war-gaming potential disruptions, including national emergency declarations ahead of the vote. Legal experts warn such steps could trigger confusion and delays in certifying results when Congress convenes January 3.
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Republicans ' chances in the mid-renovation elections are under increasing pressure as Americans link foreign policies with rising cost of living, amid a decline in popularity and heightened fears of losing control of Congress.

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ZN.UA Зеркало недели broke the news in Kyiv, Ukraine on Sunday, October 11, 2026.
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