Fox News Poll Shows Close Texas Senate Race Between James Talarico and Ken Paxton
The poll found Talarico ahead 51% to 49%, with cost of living, immigration and Trump shaping voter choices, according to Fox News and its partners.
- A Fox News poll conducted Sept. 24–28, 2026, shows Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton 51% to 49% among likely Texas voters, within a 3% margin of error.
- Financial divides underscore the polarization: voters falling behind favor Talarico by 32%, while those getting ahead break for Paxton by 48%, with Paxton maintaining support among rural voters .
- Crossover voters support Talarico, as around 20% of voters who backed incumbent Sen. John Cornyn now support him, while roughly equal numbers express concern Talarico is too liberal and Paxton is too close to President Donald Trump .
- Jewish community leaders express caution about both candidates. Norri Leder, a Jewish Federation board member, noted voters dislike Paxton's ethical issues but remain wary of Talarico's position on Israel.
- With more than 200,000 Jewish voters in Texas, neither candidate can afford to alienate minority groups in this tight race. Political scientist Matthew Wilson noted Talarico aims to maximize Democratic activist turnout.
24 Articles
24 Articles
Conservative says 'narrowing' divide spells doom for GOP in major red state
President Donald Trump relied on the support of white evangelical voters to win both of his presidential elections, in 2016 and 2024 — but a conservative writer argued on Sunday that he and his fellow Republicans may be gradually losing these same religious voters.After describing the surprising strength of Democratic nominee James Talarico compared to Republican candidate Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate election, The New York Times' David French…
DALLAS — The question changing over the Texas Senator race is not simply where Democratic James Talarico can win over voters in one of the nation
Texas hasn't elected a Democrat to US Senate since 1988: Two polls show Republican candidate trailing in midterms
Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton in two recent Texas Senate polls. The race is drawing attention as Texas has not elected a Democrat to the US Senate since 1988, with Paxton facing GOP divisions, weak personal ratings and economic concerns.
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 61% of the sources are Center
Factuality
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium
