Flavio Bolsonaro, Lula about even ahead of Brazil election runoff, CNT/MDA poll shows
- On Thursday, a Datafolha poll showed Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva tied at 50% of valid votes ahead of the October 25 runoff election.
- Datafolha's latest survey indicates a tightening race, as Flávio Bolsonaro's previous 51% lead has eroded to a tie within a week after he led Lula in the first-round vote earlier this month.
- In raw totals, Bolsonaro received 47% and Lula 46%, with 5% of respondents intending to cast blank or null votes and 2% remaining undecided, the poll showed.
- Voters will decide the presidency on Sunday, October 25, when the winner assumes office for a four-year term in a race that remains a statistical tie.
- Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi give Bolsonaro a 78% and 79% chance of winning, respectively, as of Thursday evening, contrasting with the polling dead heat.
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The current President, Luis Inácio Lula da Silva, competes with Senator Flavio Bolsonar, and recent interviews record almost equal support for the candidates.
Find out what the latest surveys by Datafolha and Quaest reveal about the run-off presidential run-off between Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro.
Polls point to a tie between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, in a campaign marked by polarization and disinformation
A few hours after the second presidential round in Brazil, the latest polls published this Saturday show a , who remain in a scenario of technical tie in front of the elections this Sunday. Datafolha’s most recent poll, reported by the newspaper Folha de S.Paulo, places the Liberal Party candidate ... Continue reading "Brazil arrives at the ballotage with technical tie between Lula and Bolsonaro, according to latest polls"
The PL candidate concluded his agenda in front of his father's former condominium, former President Jair Bolsonaro, in Barra da Tijuca, in the southern part of Rio de Janeiro, while the PT flagman returned to Paulista Avenue in São Paulo to close the electoral contest.
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- 44% of the sources lean Right
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