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Fed Officials Split on Where Interest Rates Should Go, Minutes Say

Fed officials disagree on interest rate direction; some support cuts if inflation drops, while others consider hikes if inflation stays above 2%, per January meeting minutes.

  • Yesterday, Fed minutes showed officials kept interest rates on hold at the Jan. 27-28 meeting, maintaining the policy rate range at 3.50%-3.75%.
  • Officials cited inflation pressures above the Fed's 2% inflation target and weighed fighting inflation against a stabilizing labor market, noting tariffs and AI-related productivity influences.
  • Two governors, Fed Governors Christopher Waller and Stephen Miran, dissented by voting to cut while several participants sought a 'two-sided description' and the FOMC post-meeting statement language was adjusted.
  • Futures traders are pricing the likeliest next cut in June, with the next Fed meeting, March 17-18, keeping the debate timely as holding rates affects mortgages and auto loans.
  • With Powell's term ending in May, Kevin Warsh's nomination could shift the balance as analysts warn the committee split may deepen, complicating monetary policy.
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Fed minutes: Lower inflation needed before many officials will support rate cuts

Many Federal Reserve officials want to see inflation fall further before they would support additional interest rate cuts this year, particularly if the job market continues to stabilize, minutes of last month’s meeting show.

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Fed officials split on where interest rates should go, minutes say

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released minutes from its Jan. 27-28 meeting.

·United States
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Reuters broke the news in United Kingdom on Wednesday, February 18, 2026.
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