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EU population to peak in 2029 before long decline: Report

The Commission said ageing and falling birth rates will shrink the bloc’s workforce and strain public finances, even as migration only partly offsets the decline.

  • The European Commission published a report Tuesday forecasting the European Union population will peak at 453.3 million in 2029 before entering a long-term decline, marking a structural inflection point for the 27-nation bloc.
  • Since 2012, deaths have outnumbered births annually, the Joint Research Centre reported, as migration recently masked natural decline while falling birth rates and an ageing society reshape labour markets and public finances.
  • Almost 57% of the European Union population faces regional decline, with 837 regions expected to lose residents between 2025 and 2050, risking deeper economic divides between thriving urban hubs and emptying rural areas.
  • Addressing labour shortages, European Commissioner Dubravka Suica champions the 2023 'Demography Toolbox' to integrate the 20% of working-age people currently outside the labour market while boosting productivity and female employment.
  • Life expectancy could exceed 90 years for women by 2100, and while the European Union population will fall to 398.8 million, markets for goods and services tailored to older citizens offer potential growth in healthcare and technology.
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68 Articles

Lean Right

The European population will shrink significantly in a few years, the European Commission warns. Due to the aging population, there are fewer and fewer people in employment, while the demand for healthcare and pensions is only increasing. "The aging population is truly a ticking time bomb," says Europe correspondent Stefan de Vries. People are having fewer and fewer children, meaning fewer and fewer shoulders will have to bear more and more weig…

·Amsterdam, Netherlands (Kingdom of the)
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Center

News quickly and reliably.

·Helsinki, Finland
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Lean Right

The European population has reached its maximum of 460 million people and is now expected to decrease to the end of the century to return to the levels that were known in the 1970s when we were 398 million inhabitants. The difference is that by then one in three Europeans will be more than 65 years old. The Third Report on Demographic Change, published by the European Commission and prepared by the Joint Research Centre, analyses the consequence…

·Madrid, Spain
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Center

The EU as a whole will reach its population peak in 2029, with 453.3 million inhabitants, almost 3 more than now

Lean Left

The European population, which is currently hovering around its peak of 450 million, is expected to begin to shrink significantly soon, while also becoming increasingly older, the European Commission notes in a report on demographic change.

·Ljubljana, Slovenia
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France24 broke the news in Issy-les-Moulineaux, France on Tuesday, July 14, 2026.
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