Early voting numbers show a shift toward Democrats. If those hold, two House seats in Virginia could flip, and a third could be close.

Early voting numbers show a shift toward Democrats. If those hold, two House seats in Virginia could flip, and a third could be close.

The past week has seen forecasters shift their ratings in three Virginia districts, upgrading Democratic chances in each. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump has put money into the state to defend Republican seats. Here's the math driving those moves.

Democrats have big eyes in Virginia ahead of midterms

This year, Democrats see two more hills that suddenly look a little less steep. In Virginia’s Fifth Congressional District, Republican Rep. John McGuire was elected by 15 points in 2024. In Virginia’s Sixth Congressional District, Republican Rep. Ben Cline won by nearly 30 points in 2024.

Forecasters Move Three Virginia House Races Toward Democrats as Early Voting Begins

Forecasters moved three Virginia House races toward Democrats as early voting ran behind 2025's pace, with the 2nd District now leaning…