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Dubai property sector shows early signs of weakness

Transaction volumes fell 49% month-on-month with some properties discounted 12-15% as the conflict deters investors and challenges Dubai's safe haven reputation, Goldman Sachs said.

  • On March 20, Reuters reported Dubai's property market shows early weakening nearly three weeks into the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, with analysts noting sharply lower transactions and some price cuts up to 15%.
  • The war and Tehran’s strikes have pierced Dubai's image as a safe haven, and analysts at Citi say it introduced "considerable risk", lowering population growth forecasts to 1% this year.
  • Data show real-estate transaction volumes fell 37% year-on-year and 49% month-on-month this month, with price cuts of 12-15% and a seller near Burj Khalifa dropping from $735,000 to $650,000.
  • Executives on the ground say market activity has not stopped, with investors and family offices seeking discounted listings and a circa-$25 million Palm unit sold to Francis Ngannou this week.
  • Looking ahead, models suggest that in their bearish case for Dubai, property prices could drop by an average of 7% annually between this year and 2028, according to analysts.
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27 Articles

Lean Left

Drones over skyscrapers, alarm in the malls: The Iranian attacks endanger Dubai's business model. On the net, a lot of gloating – but what is the situation really like? Our reporter talked to people on the spot.

·Germany
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ReutersReuters
+13 Reposted by 13 other sources
Center

Dubai property sector shows early signs of weakness

Dubai's property market is beginning to show early ​signs of weakening nearly three weeks into the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, with data from analysts showing tanking transaction volumes and some real estate agents ‌pointing to price reductions.

·United Kingdom
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Lean Left

Dubai is under pressure. What to expect if the war doesn't end soon?

·Bratislava, Slovakia
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www.sme.sk broke the news in Bratislava, Slovakia on Thursday, March 19, 2026.
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