US EditionCrystal Ball moves six gubernatorial elections to favor Democrats
Six key gubernatorial races shifted toward Democrats due to polling trends and candidate strength, with races in Minnesota, New York, and Rhode Island now considered safe Democratic.
- On Thursday, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics moved six gubernatorial races toward Democrats.
- The UVA Center for Politics cited recent polls, candidate developments, and Latino voting shifts as reasons for reclassifications, according to Sabato's Crystal Ball.
- A March 13-14 Quantus Insights poll showed the race tightening with 45.9 percent for one candidate and 44.9 percent for the other, supporting recent polling trends in Ohio, the source says.
- The update gives Democrats a chance to hold a majority for the first time since 2010, though Republicans are still expected to win the plurality of races.
- Meanwhile, Wisconsin and Michigan remain tossups, while Georgia's crowded primaries and primary volatility in Rhode Island add unpredictability to November.
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7 Articles
Six Gubernatorial Rating Changes in Favor of Democrats, but Republicans May Still Come Out Ahead
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— We are making six gubernatorial race rating changes this week, all in favor of Democrats.— The most notable ones come in Arizona, Georgia, and Ohio, while the others are blue state governorships in Minnesota, New York, and Rhode Island moving to Safe Democratic.— Despite these changes, Republicans may still be better-positioned to maintain an overall advantage in governorships held, and thus defy the usual trend of …
Crystal Ball moves six gubernatorial elections to favor Democrats
Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved six gubernatorial midterm election races to favor Democrats, though Republicans are still slated to win the majority of them. The Center for Politics at the University of Virginia’s election monitor moved the ratings for Arizona, Georgia, Ohio, Minnesota, New York, and Rhode Island. The latter three went from “likely Democratic” to “safe Democratic”; Arizona went from “toss-up” to “leans Democratic”; Ohio went from “l…
Six Governor's Races Shift Towards the Democrats
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: "We are making six gubernatorial race rating changes this week, all in favor of Democrats.""The most notable ones come in Arizona, Georgia, and Ohio, while the others are blue state governorships in Minnesota, New York, and Rhode Island moving to Safe Democratic."
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- 57% of the sources are Center
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