Democrats edge out, neck and neck with Republicans in 5 key Senate races: Polls
The surveys show Democrats with narrow leads in three Republican-held seats and a tied race in Kansas as control of the Senate stays in play.
- A New York Times/Siena poll released October 3 found Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton 51% to 45% in the Texas U.S. Senate race. This six-point lead sits narrowly beyond the survey's ±4.5-point margin of sampling error.
- Talarico, a former sixth-grade teacher and Presbyterian seminarian, contrasts with Paxton, a lawyer and son of an Air Force veteran. Their distinct professional and ideological backgrounds define the choices facing voters this cycle in the Texas Senate contest.
- Across the five battleground states, voters say the phrase "has good character" describes the Democratic candidate better than the Republican. Further polling indicates more voters view Paxton as "too far to the right" than see Talarico as "too far to the left."
- To secure an outright Senate majority, Democrats must gain four Republican-held seats. The Texas race, where Republicans are underperforming their 2024 results, serves as a critical building block for Democratic efforts to flip the chamber from its current 53–47 split.
- Amid President Donald Trump's falling approval ratings, analysts suggest the race reflects a broader rejection of the GOP status quo. Talarico is gaining momentum in a state Trump carried by double digits during the 2024 election.
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172 Articles
On November 3, the Americans decide whether the remaining term for Donald Trump will get uncomfortable. In which states the race becomes exciting – and what happens when the Democrats win.
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