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Democrat Mary Peltola is likely to win Alaska’s Senate race, as vote counting continues
NBC News says Peltola has a 95% chance to win as she leads Sullivan by 10,000 votes with 96% of the expected vote counted.
- The NBC News Decision Desk projects Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola is likely to win the Alaska Senate race, leading Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan by 3.7 percentage points with 96% of the expected vote tallied.
- Alaska's race remains uncalled as officials process mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day, contributing to the slow reporting pace that has extended the contest well beyond polls closing.
- Peltola leads Sullivan by over 10,000 votes, and analysis shows ballot exhaustion in the ranked choice process makes it mathematically impossible for the incumbent to close the gap as votes are redistributed.
- A victory for Peltola would secure a 56-44 majority for Democrats in the Senate next year, while The Alaska Division prepares to finalize results following the deadline for receiving absentee ballots.
- State officials expect to receive the final remaining votes early next week, with The Alaska Division scheduled to run the ranked choice tabulation on Nov. 18 if no candidate secures an outright majority.
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Mary Peltola Is On Track to Win in Alaska
“As Alaska continues to count and report votes weeks after Election Day, it is increasingly unlikely that Republican Sen. Dan S. Sullivan will hang on to his job,” NBC News reports. “His Democratic challenger, Mary Peltola, is on track to win the still-unresolved Senate race under either possible scenario — with an outright majority, or […]
·New York, United States
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Telemundo 20+7 Reposted by 7 other sources
NBC News Decision Desk believes that the Alaskan Senate contest is in favor of the Democrats.
Coverage Details
Total News Sources11
Leaning Left1Leaning Right1Center1Last UpdatedBias Distribution34% Left, 33% Center, 33% Right
Bias Distribution
- 34% of the sources lean Left, 33% of the sources are Center, 33% of the sources lean Right
34% Left
L 34%
C 33%
R 33%
Factuality
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