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2026 'Most Likely' to Be Second-Hottest Year on Record: EU Monitor

Copernicus said a strong El Niño and human-driven warming make 2026 the second-hottest year on record, with a 20% chance it matches 2024.

  • On Nov 06, the Copernicus Climate Change Service reported that 2026 is on track to be the second-hottest year on record, with global temperatures "virtually certain" to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
  • Samantha Burgess, strategic lead for climate at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, said an "exceptionally strong El Nino" is compounding human-driven global warming already heating the climate.
  • The most recent month was the warmest on record, while the four-year average from 2023 to 2026 is also expected to top 1.5°C, the limit set by the Paris Agreement.
  • Nations will gather in Turkey for the two-week COP31 climate summit on Monday to address escalating global temperatures and chart a climate response strategy.
  • The year has been marked by deadly floods in Nepal, searing heatwaves in Europe, and major wildfires in Indonesia, illustrating the real-world consequences of accelerating climate change.
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42 Articles

Lean Left

On a global scale, October 2026 was the warmest month ever recorded on the planet, with an average air temperature of 1.75 °C above that of the pre-industrial era, according to the European Copernicus Observatory.

·Paris, France
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Center

"2026 will most likely be the second warmest year ever, with about 20% chance of equalizing or exceeding 2024, currently the warmest year ever," said Copernicus in his monthly bulletin. "It is now almost certain that the year 2026 will exceed the threshold of 1.5°C compared to the pre-industrial average levels, thus becoming the second calendar year to be crossed after 2024," says Copernicus in a press release. "This does not mean that the most …

·Issy-les-Moulineaux, France
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Sueddeutsche ZeitungSueddeutsche Zeitung
+7 Reposted by 7 other sources
Lean Left

This year is probably the second time after 2024 the mark of 1.5 degrees global warming is torn, reports the EU climate change service Copernicus. Moreover, it was the warmest October ever.

·Munich, Germany
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  • 44% of the sources are Center
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wz.de broke the news on Friday, November 6, 2026.
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