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75% of Global Coffee Supply Faces Rising Extreme Heat, Analysis Says

Coffee-producing countries face an average of 47 extra damaging heat days annually, leading to reduced yields and a 37.4% rise in global coffee prices, researchers said.

  • On Wednesday, Climate Central reported 25 coffee-producing countries averaged 47 extra coffee-harming heat days between 2021 and 2025 due to human-made climate change.
  • By comparing observed temperatures with a no-warming model, Climate Central estimated extra hot days above 30 C harm coffee plants due to human-caused warming.
  • In Colombia, Chalo Fernandez reports farms have lost over half a harvest in recent years, facing 48 extra damaging heat days, according to Climate Central.
  • The heat is already reducing yields and quality, as Statistics Canada reported coffee plants face more hot days, damaging crops and raising prices for consumers in Canada.
  • Longer term, experts say increasing weather variability threatens supply as smallholder farms across the Bean Belt lack resources and next generations of coffee farmers may leave, raising price risks.
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Coffee, one of the most consumed drinks in the world, sees its yields threatened by the proliferation of high heats in large producing countries, a phenomenon that contributes to the rise of prices, according to Climate Central. ...

·Brussels, Belgium
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This follows from a new scientific analysis published on Wednesday by the non-profit organization Climate Central, which has analyzed the temperatures observed between 2021 and 2025, comparing them with a hypothetical world without climate change. According to its results, the five main coffee-producing countries (Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia and Indonesia), responsible for 75% of the supply, experienced on average 57 additional days of h…

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IOL broke the news in South Africa on Wednesday, February 18, 2026.
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