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Flavio Bolsonaro, Lula About Even Ahead of Brazil Election Runoff, CNT/MDA Poll Shows

The MDA survey of 2,032 voters shows a 2.2-point margin of error as the race remains essentially tied before Sunday’s runoff.

  • A CNT/MDA poll released Saturday shows Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva remain virtually even ahead of Sunday's election runoff in Brazil.
  • MDA surveyed 2,032 people between October 21 and October 23, finding Bolsonaro previously led Lula 46.8% to 45.9% in polling released last week.
  • The right-wing senator, eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, would receive 46.3% of the vote compared with 45% for the leftist Lula, according to the poll.
  • President Lula attended a televised debate with Bolsonaro in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on Friday, October 23, as both candidates made final campaign appeals.
  • Voters in Brazil will head to the polls to determine the presidential election runoff winner between the two candidates, with the race too close to call.
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Flavio Bolsonaro, Lula about even ahead of Brazil election runoff, CNT/MDA poll shows

·London, United Kingdom
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The interviews took place before the debate on 'TV Globo'

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Recent election polls in Brazil give a slight advantage to right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro.

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Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) appears with 50.7% of valid votes, against 49.3% for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), in the new CNT/MDA poll, released this Saturday (24). The difference of 1.4 percentage points keeps the candidates in a technical tie, considering the margin of error of 2.2 points more or less. The second round will be […]

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According to the poll, the right-wing senator, the eldest son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, would win 46.3 percent of the vote, while the left-wing president Lula would get 45 percent.

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CNN Brasil broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Saturday, October 24, 2026.
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