CNN Polls Show Democrats Ahead in Michigan and Texas Senate Races
- New CNN polling across four key Senate races finds Democrats well-positioned in Michigan and Texas, while Maine and Kansas remain tight. Democrats need a net gain of four seats to control the Senate after next Tuesday's elections.
- In Michigan, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holds a 49% to 42% lead over Republican Mike Rogers as the state's Democratic base unified following August's primary. Rogers' unfavorable rating climbed to 50% from 42% in early September, consolidating support for El-Sayed.
- Texas Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton 49% to 43%, while Democrat Adam Hamilton leads Republican Sen. Roger Marshall 49% to 45% in Kansas. Both Democrats are overperforming in these typically Republican-leaning states.
- Maine's race remains too close to call, with Democrat Troy Jackson at 49% and Republican Sen. Susan Collins at 45%. Collins faces a 54% unfavorable rating, though Jackson's backers report higher motivation to vote.
- Despite Democratic momentum, undecided voters could still shift results; 1 in 8 likely voters in most states could change their minds. In Texas and Kansas, at least 6 in 10 undecided voters lean Republican, offering the GOP room to gain.
93 Articles
93 Articles
New from top data scientist's (non-AI) Senate model: Despite uptick in Maine and Alaska, Republicans stand just one chance in six of keeping control
I started following Thomas Miller’s political forecasts during the January 2021 Senate races in Georgia. Just a few days before the election, the polls and pundits anticipated a relatively easy win for both Republican candidates. But Miller—a prominent data scientist and professor at Northwestern University—posited a Democratic sweep, and he was right. He also called Trump’s victory in 2024. What’s different about Miller’s models? They’re far mo…
CNN surveys in four important federal states to establish the U.S. Senate configuration after the midterm elections show that Democrats are positioned to win in Michigan and Texas. In...
The opposition party to Donald Trump has great hopes for the House of Representatives... and even for the Senate.
Due to the historic unpopularity of US President Donald Trump, a majority for the Democrats in both chambers of Congress...
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