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China Manufacturing Sinks Again in July as US Trade Talks Stall

CHINA, JUL 31 – China's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 49.3 in July, marking the fourth month of contraction amid slower growth, trade tensions, and severe weather disruptions, officials said.

  • China's manufacturing sector contracted unexpectedly in July, with the official Purchasing Managers' Index at 49.3, signaling shrinking production.
  • This contraction followed escalating U.S.-China trade tensions beginning in April, including tariffs over 100% and a 90-day truce set to expire in mid-August.
  • Natural disasters such as northern floods killed at least 48 people and displaced tens of thousands, while domestic demand weakened amid a debt crisis and low consumption.
  • Economist Huang observed that the new export orders index declined as elevated tariffs started to have an impact again, noting that much of the recent slowdown in demand seems to be driven by domestic factors.
  • The contraction and stalled trade talks imply ongoing economic challenges for China, with top leaders not signaling new stimulus despite slower growth and export pressures.
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China manufacturing sinks again in July as US trade talks stall

China's factory output shrank more than expected in July, official data showed on Thursday, logging its fourth straight month of contraction as Beijing battles to hammer out a trade deal with the United States.

China's manufacturing activity contracted for the fourth consecutive month in July, a more than analysts had expected amid Beijing's efforts to reach a trade deal with the United States, the French news agency AFP reported.

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El Economista broke the news in on Wednesday, July 30, 2025.
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