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China consumer inflation hits three-year high as producer deflation eases

Consumer inflation rose 1.3% year-on-year in February, driven by holiday spending, while factory-gate deflation eased to a 0.9% decline, China's National Bureau of Statistics reported.

  • On Monday, China's National Bureau of Statistics reported the consumer price index rose 1.3% year-on-year and 1% month-on-month in February, beating economists' forecasts.
  • Ahead of the Lunar New Year, authorities urged spending, and Beijing maintained its inflation goal at "around 2%" while setting a 4.5-5% GDP growth target for 2026.
  • Meanwhile, factory-gate prices showed a slower pace of deflation as the producer-price index fell 0.9% last month, while rising oil costs linked to Middle East tensions ahead of February 28 pushed consumer prices higher.
  • To bolster domestic demand, Chinese officials allocated 250 billion yuan to a consumer trade-in program and a 100 billion yuan government fund, while Larry Hu said stimulus will remain gradual this year.
  • Analysts warned the pick-up may not last as inflation could unwind once geopolitical tensions in the Middle East ease; Zichun Huang, Capital Economics, wrote `Tensions in the Middle East will push inflation higher for as long as global energy prices remain elevated`.
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Lean Right

The consumer price index has increased by 1.3% compared to the previous year, this is the largest increase since January 2023. This is the month in which the New Year's holidays took place this year.

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Center

Chinese authorities have called for increased domestic spending in the country, especially during the recent Lunar New Year holiday, when there are often increases in travel and shopping.

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YUAN TALKS broke the news in on Sunday, March 8, 2026.
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