CDC Sees 10,000 Ebola Deaths Among Possible Outbreak Scenarios
CDC says rapid isolation and sustained public health measures could keep the outbreak under 10,000 cases, but delays may push it above 20,000.
- New analyses released Friday by the CDC warn the current Ebola outbreak in Africa could rival the 2014-2016 West Africa surge of about 28,000 cases, with projections suggesting 20,000 cases and at least 4,000 deaths within three months.
- Jason Asher from the CDC Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics explained that isolation timing is critical; if only 20% of cases enter isolation within two days, projections show more than 20,000 cases in two of three scenarios.
- Jennifer Nuzzo of the Brown University School of Public Health said the analysis affirms the outbreak's "dangerous trajectory," though Asher noted a 94% probability of limiting the outbreak to fewer than 10,000 cases if 70% of patients isolate within two days.
- Despite dire warnings, Satish Pillai, the CDC Ebola response incident manager, stated the domestic risk remains low, adding there is no reason to change behavior or worry about travel except to the Democratic Republic of Congo or Uganda.
- Anthony Banbury, who led the Mission for Ebola Emergency Response, warned in The Washington Post Thursday that the "Ebola crisis in Africa will spin out of control without a significant shift in the international response.
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US warns Ebola outbreak on scale of largest 'is possible'
The United States Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) on Friday urged strong public health interventions against the current Ebola outbreak, citing their models that show it could otherwise rival the scale of the 2014 West Africa outbreak. That eruption of the virus resulted in more than 28,000 cases and more than 11,000 deaths. "That scale is possible," said Jason Asher, director of CDC's Centre for Forecasting and Outbreak Analyti…
The most violent epidemic in Ebola's history had hit West Africa until 2016 and resulted in more than 11,000 deaths, according to WHO.
The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warns that the Ebola outbreak in Congo could escalate to the scale of the West African crisis of 2014 if isolation and treatment measures are not effective.
US warns current Ebola outbreak could match deadly 2014 scale
The US CDC warns the current Ebola outbreak could rival the 2014 West Africa epidemic, urging strong public health interventions to prevent widespread case Read More: https://punchng.com/us-warns-current-ebola-outbreak-could-match-deadly-2014-scale/
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