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Canadian economy shrank by 0.3% in Oct, biggest drop in almost 3 years

Manufacturing fell 1.5% with wood products down 7.3% and postal services collapsed 32.1% due to strikes, Statistics Canada reported a 0.3% GDP drop in October.

  • On Tuesday, Statistics Canada reported real GDP contracted 0.3% in October, more than wiping out September's 0.2% expansion.
  • Manufacturing weakness and strikes pushed output down, as the Canadian Union of Postal Workers' strike cut postal services by 32.1% and an Alberta teachers' strike reduced education output by 1.8%.
  • Wood product manufacturing plunged 7.3%, its steepest drop since 2020, machinery manufacturing slid 6.9%, and finance and insurance rose 0.4% to a record high while 11 of 20 industrial sectors contracted.
  • Earlier this month the Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25%, but the October contraction complicates its narrative as Statistics Canada's November advance estimate points to a 0.1% rebound with official figures due January 30, 2026.
  • Amid U.S. trade hurdles and strikes, a 0.30% October contraction matched the steepest monthly decline of the year, echoing a similar August slump.
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Business Examiner broke the news in on Tuesday, December 23, 2025.
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