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Canada’s population could surpass 57 million by 2075, StatCan projects

Canada’s population growth is driven by immigration amid low fertility and aging, with projections ranging from 44 million to nearly 76 million by 2075, Statistics Canada said.

  • On Dec 17, 2025, Statistics Canada released new population projections, showing Canada could reach 57.4 million under a medium-growth scenario by 2075.
  • Demographic trends such as low fertility and policy shifts drove projections incorporating historically low fertility rates and changes to immigration and temporary resident policies.
  • Canada's population fell by more than 75 thousand between July and October, driven by a drop of more than 176,000 non-permanent residents amid 339,303 permit expiries and 163,026 issuances.
  • Ontario and Quebec would continue to be the most populous provinces while Alberta is projected to outstrip British Columbia in most scenarios, and Conservative MP Pierre Poilievre said `Canada needs 'more people leaving than coming,'` amid debates as Manitoba and Saskatchewan gain population share.
  • The agency noted its estimates are scenarios rather than forecasts, with the high-growth scenario down from last year's nearly 81 million projection, Statistics Canada emphasised these are scenario-based projections, not predictions.
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La Liberté broke the news in on Tuesday, January 27, 2026.
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