Can Republicans hold the Senate? Chances less than 85 days from midterms

Trump Derangement Syndrome infecting U.S. Senate races

The 2026 midterm elections are less than 80 days away -- and the balance of power in both Houses of Congress hangs in the balance.

Democrats get fresh odds of flipping the Senate as the Republican Party’s grasp on the chamber slips

Republicans’ grip on the U.S. Senate has weakened in prediction markets in recent weeks, with new race-level data suggesting Democrats have a clearer path to the four net seat gains needed to take control of the chamber. Kalshi’s Senate control market priced Republicans’ chances of keeping the majority at 54 percent, down from about 60...

The Seven-State Battle for Senate

Republicans hold a 53-to-47 Senate majority—and the vice president breaks ties in their favor. That means Democrats must flip at least four seats, not three, to take control of the upper chamber. Join now to continue reading. Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more. If you’re already a member, sign in to your account.

Can Republicans hold the Senate? Chances less than 85 days from midterms

Republicans face a battle to keep the Senate, with Iowa, Texas, North Carolina, Georgia and New Hampshire key races to watch.