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Can Jake Johnson score an upset over Brad Finstad? It may depend on factors outside of his control

Jake Johnson's campaign depends on fallout from statewide corruption scandals and shifting voter sentiment amid a recent 13-point Democratic swing in a similar special election, analysts say.

Summary by The Globe
ROCHESTER — Is Jake Johnson, the presumptive DFL candidate for Congress in the 1st District, the real deal? Can the Mayo High School teacher mount an effective – and ultimately successful – campaign to oust GOP incumbent Brad Finstad, the New Ulm farmer who has coasted to victory by double-digit margins the last two election cycles? It is hard to imagine Johnson’s candidacy failing to get a boost from the political climate in favor of Democrats …

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  • 50% of the sources are Center, 50% of the sources lean Right
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The Globe broke the news in on Monday, January 5, 2026.
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