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Budget watchdog forecasts deeper deficits than Ottawa projected in spring update

The budget watchdog says annual deficits will average $4.6 billion more than Ottawa projected because of lower tax revenue and higher program costs.

  • On Thursday, Parliamentary Budget Officer Annette Ryan released her first economic and fiscal update, forecasting a $71.8 billion deficit for this fiscal year, about $6.5 billion higher than Ottawa's spring projection.
  • Ryan attributes the deeper annual deficits to lower income tax revenue and higher program expenses, with deficits predicted to average $4.6 billion higher than Ottawa projected in its spring update.
  • While the report projects the federal deficit-to-GDP ratio will fall over the five-year horizon, Ryan estimates less than one per cent probability of achieving consistent yearly deficit reductions.
  • The federal government faces significant challenges maintaining its fiscal anchor of shrinking the deficit relative to the economy annually, with analysis suggesting this goal remains highly unlikely to be met.
  • This report by The Canadian Press marks the first fiscal update since Ryan assumed her role in April, providing a comprehensive long-term outlook for the government's fiscal management.
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31 Articles

Center

Carney's annual government deficits will average $4.6 billion higher.

·Montreal, Canada
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The Toronto StarThe Toronto Star
+24 Reposted by 24 other sources
Lean Left

Champagne stands his ground after budget watchdog questions fiscal anchor

OTTAWA - The federal finance minister is standing by his government's projections after Ottawa's budgetary watchdog cast doubt on Ottawa's ability to hit a key fiscal anchor.

·Toronto, Canada
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Lean Left

According to the federal budgetary oversight agency, Ottawa is less than 1% likely to meet its primary budgetary objective of reducing the deficit as a percentage of GDP each year.

·Montreal, Canada
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  • 81% of the sources lean Left
81% Left

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Winnipeg Free Press broke the news in Winnipeg, Canada on Thursday, June 4, 2026.
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