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BTG/Nexus Poll Ties Lula and Flávio at 50%

The 0.6-point gap is within the poll’s 2-point margin of error, leaving the runoff outcome too close to call, pollsters said.

Summary by The Rio Times
New BTG/Nexus runoff poll: Flávio Bolsonaro 50.3% and Lula 49.7% of valid votes, a tie inside the 2-point margin, six days before the vote.

60 Articles

Lean Right

Nexus places the senator at 50.3% and the president at 49.7%; Futura and Atlas also record a rapprochement of the leader of the PT

·Vicente López, Argentina
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Far Left

The recent BTG/Nexus study reflects a slight reduction in the numerical distance between the two presidential candidates.

·Caracas, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
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(Mexico City = Yonhap News) Correspondent Song Gwang-ho = With the presidential runoff election about a week away, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who is seeking his fourth term...

·Seoul, Korea (the Republic of)
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Lean Left

Research BTG/Nexus released today (19) shows Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 50.3% of voting intentions valid in the second round and Lula (PT), with 49.7%.The margin of error is two percentage points for more or less.

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Bias Distribution

  • 45% of the sources lean Right
45% Right

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Perfil broke the news in Buenos Aires, Argentina on Sunday, October 18, 2026.
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