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Lula and Bolsonaro Deadlocked as Vote Nears

Summary by Political Wire
“President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro are neck and neck ahead of Brazil’s election, a new poll showed, as a simmering Supreme Court crisis weighs on the race,” Bloomberg reports. “Lula would win 46% to Bolsonaro’s 45% in a runoff scenario, according to a BTG/Nexus survey published Monday. The advantage was within […]

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The petist had downward oscillations in comparison with the previous week's scenarios, but he follows numerically ahead of the main opponent

·São Paulo, Brazil
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A statistical tie between Lula da Silva and Flavio Bolsonaro shows a new poll for the possible second round of presidential elections in Brazil, with Lula garnering 46% and Bolsonaro 45% of the vote.

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President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva appears numerically ahead of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a possible second round of the presidential election of 2026, according to BTG/Nexus poll released on Monday, 21. Lula records 46% of voting intentions, against 45% of Flávio. As the margin of error is 2 percentage points, both are technically tied. + Understand more about West Politics The survey heard 2,006 voters by phone between 18 and 20 September. …

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BTG/Nexus research indicates technical tie between Lula (46%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (45%) in second turn simulation

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  • 34% of the sources lean Left, 33% of the sources are Center, 33% of the sources lean Right
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Metrópoles broke the news on Monday, September 21, 2026.
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