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BTG/Nexus Poll Ties Lula and Flávio at 50%

Summary by The Rio Times
New BTG/Nexus runoff poll: Flávio Bolsonaro 50.3% and Lula 49.7% of valid votes, a tie inside the 2-point margin, six days before the vote.

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Lean Left

Research BTG/Nexus released today (19) shows Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 50.3% of voting intentions valid in the second round and Lula (PT), with 49.7%.The margin of error is two percentage points for more or less.

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Left

The difference in the previous survey was over five points; now it is just over two points.

·São Paulo, Brazil
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The reprobation to the work of the president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is 48.8%, while the approval is 47.2%, according to research of the Nexus institute, contracted by the BTG Pactual Bank and disclosed on Monday (19). The numbers indicate a difference of 1.6 percentage point between those who reprobate and those who approve the performance.

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Photo: Agence Brasil Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) has 46.5% of the voting intentions in the second round of the presidential election, while the president of the

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Bias Distribution

  • 50% of the sources lean Left
50% Left

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BCharts Fórum broke the news on Monday, October 19, 2026.
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