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Brent Holds Above $102 as Gulf Export Rebound Offsets U.S. Military Moves

A rebound in Persian Gulf exports helped offset concerns over a third U.S. carrier and China’s fuel export halt, traders said.

  • Brent crude held above $100 per barrel on Thursday, as a strong rebound in Persian Gulf oil flows offset concerns regarding new U.S. carrier deployments to the Middle East and China's fuel export halt.
  • Tensions escalated after Secretary of State Marco Rubio ordered Iran's delegation out of the country, while President Donald Trump described potential escalation as "Possible."
  • The Wall Street Journal reported the USS Theodore Roosevelt departed San Diego for the Middle East, with 9,000 to 10,000 troops due by November 30, 2026, while China canceled October fuel shipments.
  • Energy markets reacted as the United States Oil Fund rose 3.00% and Chevron added 1.45%; diesel prices climbed to $6.39 as supply constraints tightened product availability.
  • David Doherty, Head of Natural Resources at BNEF, modeled early November following the US midterm elections as the main scenario for conflict easing, with disruption duration determining when oil flows normalize.
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Oil holds more than $100 per barrel, despite the resumption of supplies. Bloomberg explains the price rises by fears of escalation of the conflict with Iran and the shortage of diesel fuel.

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Crude costs about $100 per barrel because operators are concerned that hostilities can resume soon and because the world is depleting its emergency reserves.

The week was marked by mixed signals from the Middle East and disappointment over the details of the US-China trade deal. Oil oscillated between data on an almost complete recovery of exports from the Persian Gulf and fears of a new escalation of the war with Iran, with Brent returning above $100 a barrel on Thursday. […]

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FXStreet broke the news on Wednesday, September 30, 2026.
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