Brazil's Flavio Bolsonaro Turns Scandal Into Poll Gains
The one-point edge falls within the poll’s two-point margin of error, leaving the race statistically tied ahead of the first round.
- An AtlasIntel/Bloomberg survey of 5,015 voters conducted September 17–22 shows President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie, with Lula leading 47.7% to 47.4% in a simulated runoff.
- As Brazil approaches the October 4 first-round election, the presidential race has tightened, pitting the incumbent against Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year prison sentence for attempting to overturn his 2022 election defeat.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula leads 45.8% to 43.4%, with the poll carrying a 1 percentage-point margin of error that renders the race effectively tied across both scenarios.
- Mounting economic unease and a Supreme Court crisis involving Justice Alexandre de Moraes have reinforced voter distrust, complicating Lula's campaign as the race remains deadlocked with less than two weeks until the vote.
- If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes on October 4, the top two frontrunners will advance to a final runoff election scheduled for October 25, forcing a late-month head-to-head matchup.
130 Articles
130 Articles
El Periódico
Within 10 days of the first turn of the Brazilian elections, the latest poll by the consultant Datafolha shows that the polarization between the main candidates, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, and the ultra-right senator, Flávio Bolsonaro. Lula has an intention of voting of 40%, four points more than the son of ex-mandatario Jair Bolsonaro, who serves in his house in Brasilia the sentence for attempted coup d’état. However, in the second t…
Nine days from the vote, neither Brazilian front-runner comes close to 50%
Neither of Brazil's two leading presidential candidates is approaching the threshold needed to win outright on October 4, according to the latest Datafolha poll, which puts President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on 40% of voting intentions and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro on 36%.
A close race in Brazil, with Lula maintaining a narrow two-point lead over Flavio Bolsonaro. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is still two percentage points ahead of his main rival, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, according to a new Datafolha poll released Thursday. 47% for Lula, 45% for Bolsonaro In the event of a second round of presidential elections in October, Lula has 47% support, while Flavio Bolsonaro is behind with 45%.
Rio de Janeiro, Sep 24 (EFE).- President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, favorites in the presidential elections of October 4 in Brazil, remain in technical tie for the first round ten days of the elections, according to the latest poll of the firm Datafolha released on Thursday. [...] The entry Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro remain in technical tie for the first round in Brazil was first published in HolaNews.
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