Brazil Election: Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro Tied in Latest Polls
- An AtlasIntel/Bloomberg survey of 5,015 voters released Wednesday shows Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a statistical dead heat, with results falling within the survey's 1 percentage point margin of error.
- If no candidate secures more than 50 percent of valid votes on October 4, the top two frontrunners will advance to an October 25 runoff, prompting campaigns to prioritize first-round turnout.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula would receive 45.8% of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro at 43.4%, while Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Ronaldo Caiado trail with 4.5%, 2.1%, and 1.3% respectively.
- Simulated runoff figures show Lula holding a narrow lead with 47.7% of voter support compared with 47.4% for Bolsonaro, underscoring the race's razor-thin margin.
- The latest findings mark a narrowing from an earlier Quaest poll on August 5, which placed Lula ahead by a wider five-point margin of 44 percent to 39 percent.
77 Articles
77 Articles
Polls on the intention to vote make a small difference between the two favorite applicants; what data the latest studies show
Lula and Bolsonaro Stuck in Tie Ahead of Brazil Vote
Bloomberg: “Lula would receive 47.7% to Bolsonaro’s 47.4% in a runoff scenario, according to an AtlasIntel survey conducted for Bloomberg News. The result is little changed from the previous survey released last week, and keeps the race within the poll’s 1 percentage point margin of error.” “Lula would win 45.8% to Bolsonaro’s 43.4% in a […]
Brazil's Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro remain tied in runoff scenario, Atlas poll shows
SAO PAULO, Sept 23 - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Wednesday, with the leftist incumbent now holding a narrow lead within the survey's margin of error. Read more at straitstimes.com.
The recent polls by Quaest for the next presidential election on October 4 in Brazil showed, for the first time, a technical tie between President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. From Rio de Janeiro, our correspondent, Valeria Saccone, extended the details.
The presidential race in Brazil is heating up with less than two weeks to go before the October 4 election. Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the first round, but recent polls show a close tie in a runoff. According to a Quaest poll published on September 21, Lula would receive 37% support in the first round, compared to 33% for Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jai…
Polls: Lula, Bolsonaro Deadlocked in Potential Brazil Runoff
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 53% of the sources are Center
Factuality
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium
