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Fed Governor Waller sees December hike likely, opens door to possible half-point increase

Waller said inflation remains too high and that a 50-basis-point move should be considered if price pressures stay elevated.

  • U.S. stocks closed lower on Tuesday as hotter-than-expected inflation data hardened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike, with the S&P 500 losing 0.38% and the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.74%.
  • Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated in London remarks that he would consider backing a 50 basis point rate hike in December if core inflation continues at 0.3% or higher, aiming to protect the central bank's credibility.
  • The Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% in October, exceeding the 0.2% estimate, while the 10-year Treasury yield jumped 10 basis points to 4.98% and briefly surpassed 5% during trading.
  • Markets are now fully pricing in at least 25 basis points at the Federal Reserve's December meeting, according to CME FedWatch, with expectations for a 50 basis point increase climbing to 11.8% from zero consideration previously.
  • A more aggressive Fed could prove a significant headwind for equity markets next year, Chris Zaccarelli at Northlight Asset Management noted, while economists warn that "stubborn" inflation could jeopardize the outlook for 2027.
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Crypto Briefing broke the news on Friday, November 6, 2026.
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