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Poll Shows Republican Van Epps Holding Slight Lead over Democrat Behn in Tennessee’s Special Congressional Race

Despite a deep-red district, recent polls show a tight race with 48% support for Van Epps and 46% for Behn, prompting caution from Blackburn.

  • Sen. Marsha Blackburn urged turnout for Matt Van Epps on Fox News's The Big Weekend Show but hesitated to predict a large GOP margin ahead of the December 2 special election.
  • Inside Elections recently shifted the district from 'safe Republican' to 'lean Republican' after Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey showed 48% support for Matt Van Epps and 46% for Aftyn Behn.
  • Demographic splits show voters under 40 back Behn 64%, voters over 70 favor Van Epps 61%, men support Van Epps 51% to 42%, women back Behn 50% to 44%, early voters prefer Behn 56% to 42%, and Election Day voters favor Van Epps 51% to 39%.
  • Both parties have poured money into the race, with Republican PACs committing $2.3 million and the national Democratic apparatus $1.8 million, while President Donald Trump's backing heightens national attention.
  • Historically deep-red Tennessee's 7th swung for Trump by 22 points, but Democrats say a close loss signals voter discontent that could affect the U.S. House majority next year.
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  • 50% of the sources lean Right
50% Right

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Conservative News Daily broke the news in on Sunday, November 30, 2025.
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