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Is Michael Burry Shutting His Fund Just Before He's About to Be Proved Right?

Michael Burry warns that AI-driven Nasdaq 100 rally may have peaked as historical patterns show stocks peak before capital spending declines, signaling a possible market downturn.

  • On Sunday, Michael Burry posted a Lord of the Rings–wrapped warning about the AI boom on X, teasing more contrarian research to be released by Nov 25th.
  • Using a 35-year series, Burry compares S&P 500 total capital expenditures to isolate new investment share of GDP for capital cycle analysis.
  • Pointing to past cycles, the chart shows stocks peaked mid-booms like dot-com and housing while he flagged the Nasdaq 100's record around 26,000 with a Gandalf the Grey image suggesting investor complacency.
  • Given Burry's track record, his warning highlights that OpenAI and Meta's planned trillions in chips and data centers coincide with signs stocks may have topped out, implying correction risk for chip and data-center investors.
  • Since late October, Burry has returned from an April 2023 silence with bets against Nvidia and Palantir and said he'll appear soon on Michael Lewis's podcast.
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  • 50% of the sources lean Left
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RealClearMarkets broke the news in on Monday, November 17, 2025.
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