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Baird Downgrades Nvidia on China Curbs, AI Demand Worries
Baird cited slower AI capital spending and leadership uncertainty as it cut the stock to Neutral, while shares still rose 4% in morning trading.
On Wednesday, Baird downgraded Nvidia to neutral from outperform, slashing its price target to $200 from $500. Despite the downgrade, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's company rose 4% in morning trading on November 11.
Baird analyst Tristan Gerra cited uncertainty over whether Huang will remain at the company amid an investigation into his personal conduct, reportedly involving a Chinese businesswoman. Gerra also flagged potential U.S. export restrictions on chips to China.
Morgan Stanley and Bank of America recently removed Nvidia from top pick lists as the stock remains down 30% from October highs. Gerra estimates a new China export ban could trigger a $5 billion write-down.
Nvidia reports fiscal third-quarter results on November 17, which must validate its $108 billion revenue outlook issued in August. Baird stated the odds of a CEO transition are increasing into 2027 as leadership concerns weigh on the stock.
Goldman Sachs analyst James Schneider called AI stocks 'clearly in oversold territory,' naming Nvidia, Broadcom, and AMD as top picks despite near-term uncertainty. Some analysts believe the stock will stay in a trading range until concerns settle.
American investment bank Baird has lowered its recommendation for chip designer Nvidia to neutral from outperform, while cutting the target price to $200 from $500. This is reported by CNBC and several other media outlets.