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Aussie Shares Drop Ahead of Interest Rates Decision

Markets priced in an 88% chance of another RBA hike after inflation hit 4.3%, adding pressure on borrowers and retailers.

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia meets today, Tuesday, November 3, 2026, with financial markets pricing an 88 per cent probability of a fifth interest rate hike this year, lifting the cash rate to 4.85 per cent.
  • According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, September headline inflation jumped to 4.3 per cent, driven by a 9.4 per cent monthly surge in automotive fuel prices and a 5.2 per cent annual increase in housing costs.
  • With another hike expected to add $456 monthly to repayments for a $600,000 mortgage, household budgets face significant strain amid political debates over the government's fiscal role in the cost-of-living crisis.
  • Treasurer Jim Chalmers defends fiscal settings as playing "a helpful role," yet Opposition Leader Angus Taylor contends a government "spending addiction" is fueling price pressures, forcing the central bank's aggressive tightening.
  • Economists warn the Reserve Bank's strategy to curb inflation risks pushing the economy into a recession, as officials signal rates may remain elevated well into 2027 to ensure price growth returns to the 2–3 per cent target.
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50 Articles

Lean Right

LO and SBAB's chief economists disagree about the interest rate: "I don't think they should do it"

·Gothenburg, Sweden
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Sydney Morning HeraldSydney Morning Herald
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Lean Left

The rate rise that stops the economy? Fears of an RBA-induced recession

Markets and economists expect the Reserve Bank to push interest rates up to 4.85 per cent on Tuesday.

·North Sydney, Australia
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PerthNowPerthNow
+2 Reposted by 2 other sources
Center

Aussie shares drop ahead of interest rates decision

The local share market has tumbled on the back of a sharp Wall Street tech rout as anxious investors brace for another Reserve Bank rate hike on Tuesday.

·Osborne Park, Australia
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  • 46% of the sources are Center
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Australian Financial Review broke the news in Sydney, Australia on Monday, October 26, 2026.
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