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As SpaceX IPO Approaches, Polymarket, Ventuals Assign $2 Trillion Valuation: Crypto Daily

Polymarket traders give SpaceX a 69% chance of topping $2 trillion on its first trading day, while Hyperliquid futures point to a gain above 20%.

  • SpaceX debuts on the Nasdaq on Friday with shares priced at $135, establishing an initial market valuation of $1.77 trillion under Elon Musk's leadership.
  • Market expectations position the rocket company to surpass $2 trillion, a threshold currently held by only five U.S. companies: Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon.
  • Traders on Polymarket assign a 64% chance that SpaceX closes above $2 trillion, while Hyperliquid data shows open interest in perpetual contracts exceeding $240 million.
  • Amanda Lyons, head of research at Energy Group Capital, warned the company is being priced as a "cult stock," cautioning that investors may suffer losses ignoring cash flow fundamentals.
  • Adam Morgan McCarthy, research lead at Lo:Tech, noted today's debut serves as a "stress test for crypto markets," as traders monitor potential spillover effects on Bitcoin prices.
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Bias Distribution

  • 55% of the sources lean Right
55% Right

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Coin Desk broke the news in New York, United States on Thursday, June 11, 2026.
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