Argentina Awaits Inflation Data, 2% Expected
- On Tuesday, October 13, 2026, Argentina's national statistics institute, INDEC, is scheduled to publish September consumer price data at 16:00 Buenos Aires time, with analysts expecting monthly inflation to near 2.0%.
- This anticipated reading represents a slight increase from August's 1.7% inflation rate, which marked the lowest monthly level in 14 months, setting context for whether cooling continues.
- Prediction markets are closely tracking the release; Polymarket shows 60.5% probability for inflation between 1.9% and 2.1%, while Kalshi prices an outcome above 1.8% at 61%.
- Curbing inflation remains the primary focus for President Javier Milei since taking office three years ago, though economists at the Central Bank anticipate further economic contraction in the third quarter.
- Forecasts for 2026 indicate 1.5% overall growth for Argentina, while annual price increases could cool to 30.0% by year-end despite current economic challenges and contraction risks.
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Monthly inflation in Argentina reached 1.9% in September, an acceleration in relation to the 1.7% high recorded in August, according to data released this Tuesday (13) by the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (Indic). In 12 months, prices accumulated high of 33.4%, slightly below the 33.5% recorded in the period closed in August. In the accumulated of the first nine months of 2026, inflation reached 23.6%. The group with the highest …
Inflation in September 2026 was 1.9 per cent, according to the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (INDEC), amassing 23.6 per cent so far this year.
The INDEC will release the September inflation data this Thursday.
Indec will spread the CPI tomorrow; it would be around 1.9%, slightly above the previous month
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