See every side of every news story
Published loading...Updated

Deutsche Bank survey pushes recession probability toward 50%

  • A Deutsche Bank survey conducted between March 17-20, 2025, indicated a near 50-50 chance of a U.S. recession, raising concerns about the country's economic direction Part: 1, Part: 17.
  • These concerns arose amidst ongoing tariff threats and despite low unemployment and a growing economy, with increasing anxiety among consumers and business leaders about a potential slowdown Part: 1, Part: 17.
  • The survey of 400 respondents revealed an average view of a 43% probability of a downturn in growth over the next 12 months, while bond expert Jeffrey Gundlach estimated the chances of a recession at 50%-60% Part: 1, Part: 3, Part: 7, Part: 17.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged these worries but maintained that the economy remains "strong overall" and has made "significant progress toward our goals over the past two years", even as Fed officials lowered their GDP estimate to a 1.7% annualized gain and raised the core inflation outlook to 2.8%, above the 2% target Part: 2, Part: 7, Part: 10, Part: 18.
  • Economists like Clement Bohr suggest that the U.S. Might be at risk for stagflation—where growth slows and inflation remains sticky—attributing it to President Trump's tariffs, while UCLA Anderson issued its first-ever "recession watch" call; however, Powell expressed doubt that a repeat of the stagflation experienced in the 1980s is likely Part: 2, Part: 4, Part: 5, Part: 6, Part: 8, Part: 11, Part: 19, Part: 20.
Insights by Ground AI
Does this summary seem wrong?

19 Articles

All
Left
2
Center
3
Right
2
CNBCCNBC
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Center

The probability of a recession is approaching 50%, Deutsche markets survey finds

Chances that the U.S. is heading for a recession are close to 50-50, according to the survey.

·United States
Read Full Article
Think freely.Subscribe and get full access to Ground NewsSubscriptions start at $9.99/yearSubscribe

Bias Distribution

  • 43% of the sources are Center
43% Center
Factuality

To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium

Ownership

To view ownership data please Upgrade to Vantage

KMGH broke the news in on Monday, March 24, 2025.
Sources are mostly out of (0)

You have read out of your 5 free daily articles.

Join us as a member to unlock exclusive access to diverse content.