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Published 2 months ago

Are the polls overstating Labour’s lead?

Summary by New Statesman
In 1992 Robert Hayward, the Tory peer and polling expert, wrote a paper for his party contending that despite Labour’s narrow leads, the end result would likely be a majority for John Major’s Conservatives. This analysis was duly vindicated and the term “shy Tories” was born. Hayward was proved right again in 2015 when he argued the polls were overstating support for Ed Miliband’s Labour. So when he argues, as he has, that the polls are understa…

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  • 100% of the sources lean Left
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