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A math professor ran 5,000 games through his models. Here's who he thinks wins March Madness

Predicting the 2026 NCAA tournament, Tim Chartier of Davidson College released his forecasts, including the Final Four teams as 'Duke, Florida, Arizona, and Michigan.'
The predictive models rely on data from 350 teams across 5,000 games, following the NCAA Division selection committee reveal on Sunday.
Regarding the women's tournament, Chartier predicts UConn, South Carolina, UCLA, and Texas will reach the Final Four, saying, "It's March Madness, and you never know when skill will be overtaken by psychology."
His model favors Duke and UConn, though other models suggest Illinois could reach the Final Four, according to Chartier's predictions.
Before the tournaments begin March 19 and March 20, Chartier flags potential upsets including South Florida over Louisville and VCU over North Carolina.

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A math professor ran 5,000 games through his models. Here's who he thinks wins March Madness

The odds of a perfect bracket are 1 in 9.2 quintillion — but one math professor thinks he's cracked the code for March Madness 2026. Here's who he's picking.

2 days ago·Greenville, United States

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